EPS of $1.17 decreased by 14.4% from previous year
Gross margin of 21.2%
Net income of 846.00M
"We shipped $3.1 billion of AI servers in Q2. As we exited the quarter, our AI server backlog remains healthy at $3.8 billion. Most exciting, our AI server pipeline expanded across both Tier-2 CSPs and enterprise customers again in Q2, and now has grown to several multiples of our backlog." - Jeff Clarke
Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) Q2 FY2025 Results Analysis: AI Momentum Drives Growth Amid Margin Expansion and Strategic Portfolio Shifts
Executive Summary
- Dell reported a solid Q2 FY2025, with total revenue of $25.0 billion, up 9% year over year, led by a robust AI server cycle and continued strength in traditional infrastructure. ISG revenue surged to a record $11.6 billion (+38% YoY), with server and networking revenue up 80% to $7.7 billion, underscoring the accelerated demand for AI-enabled infrastructure. AI server shipments reached $3.1 billion in the quarter, with AI server backlog of $3.8 billion; the five-quarter pipeline has grown to multiple times the backlog, signaling a durable demand runway for AI deployments across Tier-2 CSPs and enterprise customers.
- Dell guided FY25 revenue to $95.5–$98.5 billion (midpoint $97.0B), implying about 10% growth, with ISG ~30% growth and CSG flat to low single digits for the year. Management emphasized margin progression in the second half, noting a gross margin decline of ~180 basis points year over year due to higher AI server mix and pricing competition, but ISG operating margin was up to 11% (a 300 bp sequential gain) and expected to improve further toward the lower-to-mid-teens range in its long-term framework. The company also announced a $328 million workforce-reduction charge as part of ongoing efficiency initiatives tied to AI-driven process improvements.
- The AI opportunity remains a cornerstone of Dell’s strategy, with a total AI hardware and services TAM of $174 billion (up from $152B, 22% CAGR). Dell highlighted an expanding AI pipeline into enterprise and sovereign opportunities, ongoing AI-enabled storage improvements, and ecosystem partnerships (e.g., storage and hyperconverged offerings). While VMware’s resale exit weighed on gross margin and ongoing portfolio mix, Dell positioned itself to capitalize on AI-driven demand and the PC refresh cycle, anticipating margin expansion and free cash flow generation in the latter part of FY25 and beyond.
Key Performance Indicators
Revenue
25.03B
QoQ: 12.51% | YoY:12.47%
Gross Profit
5.31B
21.22% margin
QoQ: 10.51% | YoY:3.17%
Operating Income
1.34B
QoQ: 45.87% | YoY:-9.69%
Net Income
846.00M
QoQ: -11.88% | YoY:-15.90%
EPS
1.19
QoQ: -12.50% | YoY:-14.39%
Revenue Trend
Margin Analysis
Key Insights
Revenue: $25.026B in Q2 FY2025, up 9% YoY; QoQ growth ~12.5% (Q1’FY25 was $22.244B).
Gross Profit: $5.311B; gross margin 21.8% (down ~230 bps YoY due to AI server mix and pricing environment).
Operating Income: $2.142B; operating margin 8.1% (up ~300 bps QoQ; benefited from higher revenue and favorable mix, offset by margin headwinds in the VMware-exit period).
Net Income: $0.846B; net income margin 3.38% (YoY and QoQ declines reflect non-operating items and the VMware-related mix; management cited non-GAAP adjustments on the call).
Diluted EPS (GAAP): $1.17; Earnings per share (reported) $1.19. Non-GAAP diluted EPS guided for Q3: $2.00 ± $0.10; FY25 target: $7.80 ± $0.25 (midpoint $7.80, up ~9%).
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $25.026B in Q2 FY2025, up 9% YoY; QoQ growth ~12.5% (Q1’FY25 was $22.244B).
- Gross Profit: $5.311B; gross margin 21.8% (down ~230 bps YoY due to AI server mix and pricing environment).
- Operating Income: $2.142B; operating margin 8.1% (up ~300 bps QoQ; benefited from higher revenue and favorable mix, offset by margin headwinds in the VMware-exit period).
- Net Income: $0.846B; net income margin 3.38% (YoY and QoQ declines reflect non-operating items and the VMware-related mix; management cited non-GAAP adjustments on the call).
- Diluted EPS (GAAP): $1.17; Earnings per share (reported) $1.19. Non-GAAP diluted EPS guided for Q3: $2.00 ± $0.10; FY25 target: $7.80 ± $0.25 (midpoint $7.80, up ~9%).
- Cash Flow: CFO $1.34B; capex $0.682B; free cash flow $0.658B; cash at period end about $4.57B; net debt ~ $19.97B after debt paydown of $1.0B and capital returns of $1.0B in the quarter.
- Backlog & Pipeline: AI server backlog $3.8B; AI server shipments $3.1B in Q2; five-quarter pipeline is a multiple of backlog and shows durable demand from Tier-2 CSPs and enterprise customers.
- Segment Highlights: ISG revenue $11.6B (+38% YoY; server & networking $7.7B, +80%); storage $4.0B (-5% YoY); CSG revenue $12.4B (-4% YoY); DFS originations $2.4B (+5%).
- Guidance Highlights: FY25 revenue guidance $95.5–$98.5B (midpoint $97.0B); ISG growth ~30%; CSG flat to up low-single digits; ISG+CSG combined growth ~13%. FY25 gross margin to decline ~180 bps; operating expenses down low-single digits; Q3 revenue guide $24.0–$25.0B (midpoint $24.5B); Q3 Diluted non-GAAP EPS ~ $2.00 ± $0.10.
Income Statement
Metric
Value
YoY Change
QoQ Change
Revenue
25.03B
12.47%
12.51%
Gross Profit
5.31B
3.17%
10.51%
Operating Income
1.34B
-9.69%
45.87%
Net Income
846.00M
-15.90%
-11.88%
EPS
1.19
-14.39%
-12.50%
Key Financial Ratios
currentRatio
0.72
grossProfitMargin
21.2%
operatingProfitMargin
5.36%
netProfitMargin
3.38%
returnOnAssets
1.02%
returnOnEquity
-29.2%
debtEquityRatio
-8.47
operatingCashFlowPerShare
$1.89
freeCashFlowPerShare
$0.93
dividendPayoutRatio
37.4%
priceToBookRatio
-25.02
priceEarningsRatio
21.4
Net Income vs. Revenue
Expense Breakdown
Management Commentary
- AI momentum and pipeline expansion: Dell stressed that AI server orders and shipments grew again and that the AI server backlog remained healthy at $3.8B, with a pipeline that has grown to several multiples of the backlog. Jeff Clarke emphasized the expanding AI pipeline across Tier-2 CSPs and enterprise customers, with a five-quarter pipeline and a backlog that remains a fraction of the pipeline in terms of opportunity. “We shipped $3.1 billion of AI servers in Q2. As we exited the quarter, our AI server backlog remains healthy at $3.8 billion. Most exciting, our AI server pipeline expanded across both Tier-2 CSPs and enterprise customers again in Q2, and now has grown to several multiples of our backlog.”
- Margin dynamics and AI mix: Yvonne highlighted that gross margin was 21.8% (down 230 bps year over year) largely due to higher AI-optimized server mix and a more competitive pricing environment. ISG operating margin rose by 300 bps sequentially to 11% driven by AI server revenue growth and storage profitability, with expectations to finish FY25 within the 11–14% band. Jeff added that margins in AI are improving through price discipline and expanded value-add services (L11/L12), including rack-level deployment and network integration, which enhances profitability relative to “the box” only. “In the traditional server space, demand environment continued to improve… in AI servers, we had strong shipments with improved profitability and growing enterprise customers in that portfolio mix.”
- VMware exit and cost actions: The company noted the VMware resale business exit contributed to gross margin headwinds, and Dell took a $328 million workforce-reduction charge in Q2 as part of ongoing cost-structure optimization driven by AI-enabled processes. Yvonne stated: “a big part of this optimization effort is leveraging AI to reimagine our business processes and drive higher productivity… in Q2, we took a $328 million charge for workforce reduction.”
- Guidance cadence and AI TAM: Dell’s AI TAM grew to $174B from $152B, implying a 22% CAGR, with the firm signaling ongoing momentum into the second half of FY25 and beyond, acknowledging that “Progress will not always be linear in the early stages, but we are winning in the market.” The five-quarter pipeline and the enterprise adoption trajectory (more pilots moving toward scale) underpin this view. “We are very optimistic about FY ’25 and beyond. AI and the coming IT hardware refresh cycle will be tailwinds for our business.”
We shipped $3.1 billion of AI servers in Q2. As we exited the quarter, our AI server backlog remains healthy at $3.8 billion. Most exciting, our AI server pipeline expanded across both Tier-2 CSPs and enterprise customers again in Q2, and now has grown to several multiples of our backlog.
— Jeff Clarke
ISG operating income rate was up 300 basis points sequentially to 11% of revenue. This rate improvement was the result of operating expense scaling, driven by higher server revenue and storage profitability. We're pleased with the sequential improvement in storage profitability and expect ISG margin to finish FY25 within our long-term framework (11%–14%).
— Yvonne McGill
Forward Guidance
- Revenue trajectory: FY25 revenue guidance of $95.5–$98.5B (midpoint $97B), representing ~10% YoY growth, with ISG revenue expected to grow roughly 30% and CSG flat to up low single digits. The combined ISG+CSG is guided to ~13% at the midpoint, indicating a shift toward AI-enabled hardware and software demand in the back half of FY25.
- Margin and profitability: Dell projects gross margin to decline ~180 bps due to inflation, AI mix, and competitive pricing, but operating expense is expected to be down low-single digits for the year, enabling ISG and CSG operating margins within long-term bands (11–14% for ISG, 5–7% for CSG). The company anticipates ISG margin expansion in H2 as AI mix normalizes and storage profitability improves.
- AI server backlog and supply: With a five-quarter pipeline that is “several multiples” of backlog, Dell expects to translate a portion of this pipeline into shipments in coming quarters, aided by improving GPU supply and customer readiness. The management tone indicates confidence that backlog conversion will accelerate as GPU and data-center readiness align with demand.
- Risks and monitoring factors: Key risk factors include continued inflationary inputs, pricing competition, GPU supply constraints, and the VMware-exit-related margin headwinds. Investors should monitor AI server utilization, backlog-to-shipment conversion, and the evolution of sovereign AI opportunities as the major longer-term growth vectors.
- Bottom-line assessment: The FY25 guidance implies a disciplined earnings framework anchored by AI-driven demand and a favorable mix shift toward higher-margin Dell IP storage and services. The variables to watch are AI server utilization, pipeline conversion, and the pace of efficiency gains from AI-driven processes. Overall, the investment thesis hinges on Dell maintaining its AI leadership position, expanding enterprise and sovereign AI opportunities, and delivering margin expansion in ISG with a durable, high-ROIC AI-services stack.
Competitive Position
Company
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio
DELL Focus
21.22%
5.36%
-29.20%
21.40%
HPQ
23.00%
8.17%
-66.30%
11.38%
NTAP
71.00%
20.80%
33.50%
20.37%
PSTG
70.70%
3.26%
2.45%
120.88%
SMCI
11.80%
6.49%
5.14%
14.08%
Gross Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio Comparison
Investment Outlook
Dell’s near-term earnings trajectory hinges on converting the sizable AI-oriented pipeline into actual shipments while managing gross margin headwinds from the VMware exit and AI mix. The company’s strategic emphasis on AI-enabled hardware, software, and services—coupled with improved AI server profitability through rack-level value adds—supports a constructive longer-term view. However, investors should monitor GPU supply dynamics, the cadence of the PC refresh cycle, and the progress of sovereign AI opportunities, which could influence mix and pricing power. Given a 10% FY25 revenue growth target, ISG margin expansion potential toward the 11–14% band, and a growing AI services stack, the investment thesis remains favorable for exposure to AI-driven IT infrastructure upgrades, with a need to closely track margin recovery and free cash flow generation as the AI transition matures.
Key Investment Factors
Growth Potential
- AI-driven data center refresh cycle and expanding enterprise AI adoption provide a durable growth runway; five-quarter pipeline is multiple times the backlog, signaling a strong demand conversion potential. Dell’s AI portfolio is augmented by Dell IP storage and services (L11/L12 capabilities), which supports higher-margin deployments and larger project scopes.
Profitability Risk
- VMware resale exit continues to weigh on gross margin; AI server profitability is sensitive to pricing competition and AI-specific procurement cycles; GPU supply constraints and data-center readiness (power, cooling) remain potential bottlenecks for backlog conversion; macroeconomic uncertainty could affect enterprise IT spend and capex cycles.
Financial Position
- Leverage remains elevated with net debt around $19.97B; cash and investments ~$6.0B; negative stockholders’ equity indicates accounting and mix impacts (e.g., VMware-related adjustments) rather than operating insolvency; cash flow from operations was solid at $1.34B in Q2 and free cash flow was $0.658B, supporting capital return plans and deleveraging.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Broad, diversified technology portfolio across ISG, CSG, and VMware legacy (transitioned) assets
Leading AI-ready infrastructure capability (AI servers, Dell IP storage, networking) and strong enterprise go-to-market
Strong AI services and professional-services capability to design, deploy, and scale AI solutions
Robust supply chain and global footprint enabling rapid fulfillment and customer support
Large, expanding AI TAM with multi-customer demand (Tier-2 CSPs, enterprise, sovereign) and a growing enterprise pipeline
Weaknesses
VMware resale exit reducing revenue mix and pressuring gross margins; negative stockholders’ equity in balance sheet readings; dependence on AI hardware cycle volatility and GPU supply constraints; competitive pricing pressures in memory/storage and traditional servers; HCI partner-IP mix headwinds impacting storage profitability
Opportunities
AI-forward PCs/data-center refresh cycle; expanded enterprise AI deployments including edge inference and agents; sovereign AI opportunities; strategic storage partnerships (Nutanix, NVIDIA SuperPOD, PowerScale enhancements); Project Lightning and parallel file system innovations to improve data delivery for AI workloads
Threats
Macro weakness impacting IT budgets; GPU supply and lead times creating backlog-to-shipment timing risk; aggressive pricing and competition across PCs, servers, and storage; geopolitical/sanctions considerations affecting sovereign AI opportunities